对称性在积分计算中的应用规律

利用积分域的对称性简化积分计算是优先考虑的计算策略之一.如果积分域由对称的两部分组成,首先考察积分域是否具有方向性,然后考察被积函数在对称点处的函数值是否相等或者相反.当积分域无方向性时,若被积函数在对称点处的函数值相等,则积分简化成半个积分域上积分的2倍;若被积函数在对称点处的函数值相反,则积分为零.当积分域有方向性时,结论正好与积分域无方向性时的结论相反.如果积分域具有轮换对称性,当对被积函数做相应的坐标轮换时,积分值不变.     

Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Model Averaging and Selection over the Business Cycle

Four methods of model selection—equally weighted forecasts, Bayesian model‐averaged forecasts, and two models produced by the machine‐learning algorithm boosting—are applied to the problem of predicting business cycle turning points with a set of common macroeconomic variables. The methods address a fundamental problem faced by forecasters: the most useful model is simple but makes use of all relevant indicators. The results indicate that successful models of recession condition on different economic indicators at different forecast horizons. Predictors that describe real economic activity provide the clearest signal of recession at very short horizons. In contrast, signals from housing and financial markets produce the best forecasts at longer forecast horizons. A real‐time forecast experiment explores the predictability of the 2001 and 2007 recessions. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

闭黎曼流形上临界度量的研究

本文研究了闭黎曼流形上的双参数二次曲率泛函的临界度量，利用带Yamabe常数及曲率的pinching条件，以及我们证明了一个刚性定理。此外，我们也得到另外一些曲率条件下的刚性结果。     

基于移动信令数据的城市热点识别方法

城市热点的识别对于探索解决引导性的人群疏散、规避交通拥堵等问题提供新途径,并为基于位置服务(location based services,LBS)如商铺选址、旅游导航等提供重要的科学参考,具有重要的应用价值。随着个人手机终端的普及与发展,手机已经成为研究用户行为特征的一种理想的探测器。提出了将手机信令数据融合兴趣点(point of interest,POI)数据来挖掘城市的热点区域并进行功能类型标定,重点通过手机信令数据研究人流的出行行为和在蜂窝的驻留时长情况来识别活跃蜂窝,并进一步通过基于密度的聚类算法判别热点区域。选取了重庆市较场口一定范围区域作为研究区域,数据来源于重庆某移动运营商提供的用户手机信令数据,通过实验实例验证分析,证明了该方法可快速识别出城市热点区域,并具有较高的准确性。     

关于有理混合吸引子的Ciric型非唯一不动点定理

本文我们应用有理混合吸引子条件去证明具非唯一不动点的映射Ciric型的若干不动点定理.结果推广并改进已知的一些结果.     

浅谈粉煤灰蒸压釜安装的几个要点

详细介绍了粉煤灰蒸压釜安装过程中的几个要点,并提出了粉煤灰蒸压釜安装过程中需要注意的事项。     

非相参三点源有源诱偏下反辐射导弹落点分布研究

多点源诱偏技术是对抗反辐射导弹（ARM）的有效手段．以ARM攻击过程的二分组理论和双点源诱偏的仿真结果为依据,对等功率三点源诱偏的2种经典布局ARM落点整体分布进行分析和预测．通过对仿真所得ARM落点图及其几何处理结果进行对照分析,验证了这种分析和预测的正确性,为通信辐射源附近的物资、人员的布设提供一定的参考．     

一类差分Painlevé Ⅰ方程解的性质

利用亚纯函数差分的Nevanlinna值分布理论,研究了一类PainlevéⅠ方程有限级超越亚纯解的不动点、零点、极点分布情况和Borel例外值存在性问题,得到了方程解的不动点、零点和极点的收敛指数及其值分布的一些结果,同时给出了方程有理解的存在性及其表示.     

高职院校困难学生心理危机干预的策略研究

高职学生安全管理体系是一个复杂系统,困难学生心理危机干预体系是高职学生安全管理系统的内容之一。困难学生群体因家庭困难、自尊心强、心理负担重、易受外界伤害等特点自身易诱发心理危机。学校应构建困难学生心理危机干预体系,当心理危机出现时,学生安全管理系统应给予及时、有效、准确的干预和帮扶。     

Forecasting key US macroeconomic variables with a factor‐augmented Qual VAR

In this paper, we first extract factors from a monthly dataset of 130 macroeconomic and financial variables. These extracted factors are then used to construct a factor‐augmented qualitative vector autoregressive (FA‐Qual VAR) model to forecast industrial production growth, inflation, the Federal funds rate, and the term spread based on a pseudo out‐of‐sample recursive forecasting exercise over an out‐of‐sample period of 1980:1 to 2014:12, using an in‐sample period of 1960:1 to 1979:12. Short‐, medium‐, and long‐run horizons of 1, 6, 12, and 24 months ahead are considered. The forecast from the FA‐Qual VAR is compared with that of a standard VAR model, a Qual VAR model, and a factor‐augmented VAR (FAVAR). In general, we observe that the FA‐Qual VAR tends to perform significantly better than the VAR, Qual VAR and FAVAR (barring some exceptions relative to the latter). In addition, we find that the Qual VARs are also well equipped in forecasting probability of recessions when compared to probit models.